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    Item type:Publication,
    Stateless System Performance Prediction and Health Assessment in Cloud Environments: Introducing cSysGuard, an Ensemble Modeling Approach
    (2024-01-01)
    Chairatana, Nutt
    ;
    Chawuthai, Rathachai
    Stateless cloud computing presents remarkable scalability and cost-effectiveness by offering dynamically adjustable resources tailored to fluctuating demands, eliminating the constraints of stateful architectures. However, the challenges presented by dynamic workload are substantial in the context of system health monitoring, frequently leading to service interruptions owing to insufficient resources. It underscores the need for the development of more efficient monitoring systems. Our study introduces cSysGuard, a novel framework designed to enhance monitoring capabilities within cloud environments. The methodology employs an ensemble regression model with a stacking strategy to forecast dynamic performance metrics. The algorithm also leverages a classification model to assess the system's health based on forecasted metrics, effectively identifying potential failures in the future. Under the configuration utilized, our evaluations demonstrated increased predictive performance with cSysGuard in forecasting various metrics compared to traditional models. The results showed an improvement of up to a remarkable 2.28-fold increase, varying significantly based on the specific metric under consideration. In addition, the effectiveness of health assessment was achieved through Decision Trees with hyperparameter tuning, resulting in a macro-averaged F1 score of 89.79%. This research contributes to both the theoretical and practical aspects of server monitoring, presenting a solution that assesses system performance metrics and health to tackle dynamic challenges in cloud infrastructure.
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    Item type:Publication,
    Cloud Stateless Server Failover Prediction Using Machine Learning on Proactive System Metrics
    (2023-01-01)
    Chairatana, Nutt
    ;
    Chawuthai, Rathachai
    Cloud computing, revered for its extraordinary scalability and elasticity, has revolutionized business operations by providing flexible resource options based on demand. However, this on-demand resource allocation poses distinct challenges. Due to the fluid nature of resource allocation and load distribution in the cloud, monitoring the health of servers using system metrics becomes problematic. This complexity can lead to unexpected server request failures and service interruptions due to resource insufficiencies, highlighting the need for more effective monitoring systems. Our research utilizes machine learning techniques to predict cloud server health based on resource usage and operational metrics, focusing specifically on stateless applications. Our study reveals that a Logistic Regression model trained on these system metrics delivers the most precise predictions. After hyperparameter tuning, the model exhibited robust performance, achieving a macro-Averaged F1 Score of 97.7%. The paper outlines our methodology, findings, and the potential of this approach for cloud server health prediction.