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Author: search.filters.author.Kaewkabthong, ApidulSubject: search.filters.subject.precision agriculture

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    Interpretable Machine Learning for Sugarcane Harvester Performance: A Comparison of Additive and Tree-Based Models on Telematics Data
    (2026-07-01)
    Kaewkabthong, Apidul
    ;
    Saijai, Jedsada
    ;
    Sriphuk, Pisitwitthaya
    ;
    Sitorus, Agustami
    ;
    Udompetaikul, Vasu
    Sugarcane harvester performance varies substantially with field geometry, crop, and operator factors, yet separating these sources from telematics data while preserving engineering interpretability remains a methodological gap. This study models field efficiency (Eff) and harvesting capacity (C<inf>a</inf>) separately from JDLink telematics, aligning model structure with each target’s response behavior. Operational data covered 105 plots across four seasons (2019/20–2022/23) from three John Deere CH570 chopper harvesters in eastern Thailand. Six engineering-relevant predictors were retained after multicollinearity screening, and linear (MLR), additive nonlinear (GAM), and tree-based models were compared under 5-fold grouped cross-validation by BaseField (87 groups). Eff was assigned to GAM (R<sup>2</sup><inf>CV</inf> = 0.621 ± 0.114) on the basis of its threshold-like response to turning frequency; C<inf>a</inf> was retained for MLR (R<sup>2</sup><inf>CV</inf> = 0.681 ± 0.121), with GAM essentially tied. Train–validation gaps were substantially smaller for additive models (0.096–0.118) than for tuned tree-based candidates (GBR 0.210–0.302, RF 0.322–0.358). Turning frequency (TF) and perimeter-to-area ratio (PAR) were the strongest predictors, and a constant-turn-time partial-out test indicated that TF’s univariate effect on Eff is largely mediated by the time-budget identity. Tactical interventions (path planning, operator training, machine–field allocation) are immediately feasible, although strategic field-layout change remains constrained by smallholder land tenure.