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    Item type:Publication,
    Error-output recurrent multi-layer Kernel Reservoir Network for electricity load time series forecasting
    (2023-01-01)
    Liu, Zongying
    ;
    Tahir, Ghalib Ahmed
    ;
    Masuyama, Naoki
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    Kakudi, Habeebah Adamu
    ;
    Fu, Zhongyu
    Electricity is one of the most consumed commodities in the modern world. Electricity load prediction models are used to plan distribution operations to balance the equilibrium of demand and supply. This necessity has increased the number of recent research works. They employed several learning algorithms, such as support vector regression, to predict demands. However, these algorithms have high computational cost and too many user-defined parameters that directly impact their performance. Recently, randomization-based learning algorithms have been widely tested because they performed well at a lower cost. However, still, there was a main drawback: uncertainty in approximation and learning. This work employed a kernel trick to solve the uncertainty problem. A kernel with reservoir-state layers was used to solve the problem. The kernel reservoir-state layers from the echo state network not only transformed features into high-dimensional space, but also enhanced the forecasting ability by learning temporal information. Additionally, the proposed model also had a multi-step prediction ability that used previous forecasting errors to update the output weights in the current step to prevent an accumulated error problem. We compared our proposed model with single-layer and multi-layer variants of Extreme Learning Machine, Echo State Network, and Random Vector Functional Link on ten electrical load data sets. The proposed model showed the best performance on 9/10 data sets in terms of Mean Square Error or Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error. These findings implied that the proposed algorithm was superior in forecasting long-term electricity load.
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    Item type:Publication,
    DIAGNOSIS OF METABOLIC SYNDROME USING MACHINE LEARNING, STATISTICAL AND RISK QUANTIFICATION TECHNIQUES: A SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW
    (2021-01-01)
    Kakudi, Habeebah Adamu
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    Loo, Chu Kiong
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    Moy, Foong Ming
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    Kau, Lim Chee
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    Pasupa, Kitsuchart
    Metabolic syndrome (MetS), known to substantially lower the quality of life is associated with the increased incidence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) such as type II diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular diseases and cancer. Evidence suggests that MetS accounts for the highest global mortality rate. For the early and accurate diagnosis of MetS, various statistical and ML techniques have been developed to support its clinical diagnosis. We performed a systematic review to investigate the various statistical and machine learning techniques (ML) that have been used to support the clinical diagnoses of MetS from the earliest studies to December 2020. Published literature relating to statistical and ML techniques for the diagnosis of MetS were identified by searching five major scientific databases: PubMed, Science Direct, IEEE Xplore, ACM digital library, and SpringerLink. Fifty-seven primary studies that met the inclusion criteria were obtained after screening titles, abstracts and full text. Three main types of techniques were identified: statistical (n=10), ML (n=44), and risk quantification (n=3). Standardized Z-score is the only statistical technique identified while the ML techniques include principal component analysis, confirmatory factory analysis, artificial neural networks, multiple logistics regression, decision trees, support vector machines, random forests, and Bayesian networks. The areal similarity degree risk quantification, framingham risk score and simScore were the three risk quantification techniques identified. Evidence suggests that evaluated ML techniques, with accuracy ranging from 75.5% to 98.9%, can more accurately diagnose MetS than both statistical and risk quantification techniques. The standardised Z-score is the most frequent statistical technique identified. However, highlighted proof based on performance measures indicate that the decision tree and artificial neural network ML techniques have the highest predictive performance for the prediction of MetS. Evidence suggests that more accurate diagnosis of MetS is required to evaluate the predictive performance of the statistical and ML techniques.
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    Item type:Publication,
    Diagnosing metabolic syndrome using genetically optimised Bayesian ARTMAP
    (2019-01-01)
    Kakudi, Habeebah Adamu
    ;
    Loo, Chu Kiong
    ;
    Moy, Foong Ming
    ;
    Masuyama, Naoki
    ;
    Pasupa, Kitsuchart
    Metabolic Syndrome (MetS) constitutes of metabolic abnormalities that lead to non-communicable diseases, such as type II diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, and cancer. Early and accurate diagnosis of this abnormality is required to prevent its further progression to these diseases. This paper aims to diagnose the risk of MetS using a new non-clinical approach called 'genetically optimized Bayesian adaptive resonance theory mapping' (GOBAM). We evolve the Bayesian adaptive resonance theory mapping (BAM) by using genetic algorithm to optimize the parameters of BAM and its training input sequence. We use the GOBAM algorithm to classify individuals as either being at risk of MetS or not at risk of MetS with a related posterior probability, which ranges between 0 and 1. A data set of 11 237 Malaysians from the CLUSTer study stratified by age and gender into four subcategories was used to evaluate the proposed GOBAM algorithm. The comparative evaluation of our results suggested that the GOBAM performs significantly better than other classical adaptive resonance theory mapping models on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) and others criteria. Our algorithm gives an AUC of 86.42 %, 87.04 %, 91.08 %, and 89.24 % for the young female, middle aged female, young male, and middle-aged male subcategories, respectively. The proposed model can be used to support medical practitioners in accurate and early diagnosis of MetS.