KMITL
Permanent URI for this communityhttps://dspace.kmitl.ac.th/handle/123456789/1
Browse
4 results
Search Results
- Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Projected Climate Change Effects on Global Vegetation Growth: A Machine Learning Approach(2023-12-01) ;Nguyen, Kieu Anh ;Seeboonruang, UmaChen, WalterIn this study, a machine learning model was used to investigate the potential consequences of climate change on vegetation growth. The methodology involved analyzing the historical Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data and future climate projections under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Data from the Global Inventory Monitoring and Modeling System (GIMMS) dataset for the period 1981–2000 were used to train the machine learning model, while CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) global climate projections from 2021–2100 were employed to predict future NDVI values under different SSPs. The study results revealed that the global mean NDVI is projected to experience a significant increase from the period 1981–2000 to the period 2021–2040. Following this, the mean NDVI slightly increases under SSP126 and SSP245 while decreasing substantially under SSP370 and SSP585. In the near-term span of 2021–2040, the average NDVI value of SSP585 slightly exceeds that of SSP245 and SSP370, suggesting a positive vegetation development in response to a more pronounced temperature increase in the near term. However, if the trajectory of SSP585 persists, the mean NDVI will commence a decline over the subsequent three periods (2041–2060, 2061–2080, and 2080–2100) with a faster speed than that of SSP370. This decline is attributed to the adverse effects of a rapid temperature rise on vegetation. Based on the examination of individual continents, it is projected that the NDVI values in Africa, South America, and Oceania will decline over time, except under the scenario SSP126 during 2081–2100. On the other hand, the NDVI values in North America and Europe are anticipated to increase, with the exception of the scenario SSP585 during 2081–2100. Additionally, Asia is expected to follow an increasing trend, except under the scenario SSP126 during 2081–2100. In the larger scope, our research findings carry substantial implications for biodiversity preservation, greenhouse gas emission reduction, and efficient environmental management. The utilization of machine learning technology holds the potential to accurately predict future changes in vegetation growth and pinpoint areas where intervention is imperative. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Comparison of Ensemble Machine Learning Methods for Soil Erosion Pin Measurements(2021-01-01) ;Nguyen, Kieu Anh ;Chen, Walter ;Lin, Bor ShiunSeeboonruang, UmaAlthough machine learning has been extensively used in various fields, it has only recently been applied to soil erosion pin modeling. To improve upon previous methods of quantifying soil erosion based on erosion pin measurements, this study explored the possible application of ensemble machine learning algorithms to the Shihmen Reservoir watershed in northern Taiwan. Three categories of ensemble methods were considered in this study: (a) Bagging, (b) boosting, and (c) stacking. The bagging method in this study refers to bagged multivariate adaptive regression splines (bagged MARS) and random forest (RF), and the boosting method includes Cubist and gradient boosting machine (GBM). Finally, the stacking method is an ensemble method that uses a meta-model to combine the predictions of base models. This study used RF and GBM as the meta-models, decision tree, linear regression, artificial neural network, and support vector machine as the base models. The dataset used in this study was sampled using stratified random sampling to achieve a 70/30 split for the training and test data, and the process was repeated three times. The performance of six ensemble methods in three categories was analyzed based on the average of three attempts. It was found that GBM performed the best among the ensemble models with the lowest root-mean-square error (RMSE = 1.72 mm/year), the highest Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE = 0.54), and the highest index of agreement (d = 0.81). This result was confirmed by the spatial comparison of the absolute differences (errors) between model predictions and observations using GBM and RF in the study area. In summary, the results show that as a group, the bagging method and the boosting method performed equally well, and the stacking method was third for the erosion pin dataset considered in this study. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Using machine learning-based algorithms to analyze erosion rates of a watershed in Northern Taiwan(2020-03-01) ;Nguyen, Kieu Anh ;Chen, Walter ;Lin, Bor ShiunSeeboonruang, UmaThis study continues a previous study with further analysis of watershed-scale erosion pin measurements. Three machine learning (ML) algorithms-Support Vector Machine (SVM), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN)-were used to analyze depth of erosion of a watershed (Shihmen reservoir) in northern Taiwan. In addition to three previously used statistical indexes (Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Square of Error, and R-squared), Nash-Sutcliffe Effciency (NSE) was calculated to compare the predictive performances of the three models. To see if there was a statistical difference between the three models, theWilcoxon signed-rank test was used. The research utilized 14 environmental attributes as the input predictors of the ML algorithms. They are distance to river, distance to road, type of slope, sub-watershed, slope direction, elevation, slope class, rainfall, epoch, lithology, and the amount of organic content, clay, sand, and silt in the soil. Additionally, measurements of a total of 550 erosion pins installed on 55 slopes were used as the target variable of the model prediction. The dataset was divided into a training set (70%) and a testing set (30%) using the stratified random sampling with sub-watershed as the stratification variable. The results showed that the ANFIS model outperforms the other two algorithms in predicting the erosion rates of the study area. The average RMSE of the test data is 2.05 mm/yr for ANFIS, compared to 2.36 mm/yr and 2.61 mm/yr for ANN and SVM, respectively. Finally, the results of this study (ANN, ANFIS, and SVM) were compared with the previous study (Random Forest, Decision Tree, and multiple regression). It was found that Random Forest remains the best predictive model, and ANFIS is the second-best among the six ML algorithms. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Predicting sheet and rill erosion of Shihmen reservoir watershed in Taiwan using machine learning(2019-07-01) ;Nguyen, Kieu Anh ;Chen, Walter ;Lin, Bor Shiun ;Seeboonruang, UmaThomas, KentShihmen Reservoir watershed is vital to the water supply in Northern Taiwan but the reservoir has been heavily impacted by sedimentation and soil erosion since 1964. The purpose of this study was to explore the capability of machine learning algorithms, such as decision tree and random forest, to predict soil erosion (sheet and rill erosion) depths in the Shihmen reservoir watershed. The accuracy of the models was evaluated using the RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), and R<sup>2</sup>. Moreover, the models were verified against the multiple regression analysis, which is commonly used in statistical analysis. The predictors of these models were 14 environmental factors which influence soil erosion, whereas the target was 550 erosion pins installed at 55 locations (on 55 slopes) and monitored over a period of approximately three years. The data sets for the models were separated into 70% for the training data and 30% for the testing data, using the simple random sampling and stratified random sampling methods. The results show that the random forest algorithm performed the best of the three methods. Moreover, the stratified random sampling method had better results among the two sampling methods, as anticipated. The average error (RMSE relative to 1:1 line) of the stratified random sampling method of the random forest algorithm is 0.93 mm/yr in the training data and 1.75 mm/yr in the testing data, respectively. Finally, the random forest algorithm predicted that type of slope, slope direction, and sub-watershed are the three most important factors of the 14 environmental factors collected and used in this study for splits in the trees and thus they are the three most important factors affecting the depth of sheet and rill erosion in the Shihmen Reservoir watershed. The results of this study can be employed by decision-makers to improve soil conservation planning and watershed remediation.
