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Ionospheric disturbances as precursor signals of the March 28, 2025, Myanmar earthquake
(2026-03-15)
Pansong, C.
;
Ruttanaburee, S.
;
Pornsopin, P.
;
Kenpankho, P.
This study examined the ionospheric response associated with the Mw 7.7 Myanmar earthquake on March 28, 2025, using GPS-derived Total Electron Content (TEC) data from seven GNSS stations across Thailand. TEC variations were analyzed alongside Dst and Kp indices, as well as ionosonde-derived parameters, namely the critical frequency of the F2 layer (foF2), the peak height of the F2 layer (hmF2), the disturbances in NmF2, and the slab thickness (τ), which were obtained from three IGS-supported stations. We detected abnormal variations in TEC approximately 15 days before the earthquake (13–27 March 2025), characterized by alternating positive and negative deviations. The TEC exhibited alternating positive and negative deviations throughout the analysis period, reflecting ionospheric variability prior to the earthquake. During the early period (13–18 March), the deviations remained within approximately ±6 TECU. However, from 19 to 21 and 23–24 March, moderate fluctuations were observed, particularly at mid- and low-latitude stations (UTHG, THBK, THCP, and THPK), where ΔTEC ranged from ±6 to 10 TECU. The TEC decrease occurred on 25 March under weak geomagnetic conditions (Dst > −30 nT) at the northern stations MAEH (−18.40 TECU), THCM (−15.65 TECU), and NANN (−15.73 TECU), marking the most pronounced negative anomaly observed during the study period. Subsequently, on 26–27 March, TEC values recovered to positive anomalies of +4 to +10 TECU, indicating a return to normal ionospheric conditions. To objectively identify pre-seismic ionospheric anomalies, a Median Absolute Deviation (MAD) approach was applied using a ±1.34MAD threshold. This statistical technique effectively detects subtle deviations while minimizing transient noise. The results reveal coherent TEC depletions across multiple stations on 25 March, suggesting the presence of localized ionospheric disturbances potentially related to seismo-ionospheric processes rather than geomagnetic effects. Furthermore, concurrent anomalous increases in foF2 and hmF2, along with a reduction in slab thickness near the epicentral region, indicate vertical uplift of the F2 layer, consistent with possible Lithosphere–Atmosphere–Ionosphere Coupling (LAIC) mechanisms.
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Low-Latitude Ionospheric Responses to Two Matched Intense Equinoctial Geomagnetic Storms: A Case-Based Comparison Between Solar Cycles 24 and 25
(2026-01-16)
Pansong, Chollada
;
Kenpankho, Prasert
This study investigates the ionospheric responses to two matched intense equinoctial geomagnetic storms that occurred during Solar Cycles 24 and 25 (SCs 24 and 25), with emphasis on variations in Total Electron Content (TEC), the F2-layer critical frequency (foF2), and the F2-layer peak height (hmF2). TEC data were derived from Global Ionospheric Maps (GIMs) based on Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) observations, while foF2 and hmF2 parameters were obtained from the Global Assimilative Model of the Bottomside Ionosphere Timeline (GAMBIT) for 22 low-latitude locations worldwide. The results show that the SC25 storm produced stronger and more spatially extensive ionospheric responses than the SC24 event. Peak TEC values during SC25 exceeded those of SC24 by up to ~80-90 TECU in the Southeast Asian, East Asian, and Pacific sectors near the storm main phase, indicating a pronounced positive ionospheric storm. These enhancements are closely associated with higher solar wind speeds (~650-700 km s<sup>–1</sup>) and strongly fluctuating IMF Bz during SC25, which generated sustained multi-pulse Prompt Penetration Electric Fields (PPEFs) that intensified E × B plasma drifts and the equatorial fountain effect. In contrast, SC24 was characterized by lower solar wind speeds (~550-600 km s<sup>–1</sup>) and a predominantly southward IMF Bz, resulting in shorter-lived PPEF activity, weaker TEC enhancements, and pronounced depletion during the recovery phase. Correlation analysis between Dst and TEC disturbances reveals strong negative correlations (r ≈ −0.6 to −0.9) in the Asia-Pacific sectors during the main phase, indicating that enhanced TEC disturbances tend to coincide with periods of increasing storm intensity, whereas predominantly positive correlations (r ≈ 0.6-0.9) are observed in the Middle Eastern-African-European sector, reflecting TEC depletion. The foF2 response shows clear phase dependence, with localized daytime enhancements during the main phase but widespread reductions of ~15-20% during recovery in both solar cycles, consistent with the influence of Disturbance Dynamo Electric Fields (DDEFs), and thermospheric composition changes. In contrast, hmF2 exhibits solar-cycle-dependent behavior, with modest increases (~3-8%) during SC24 and more variable, often negative responses (up to ~2-3% decrease) during SC25. These findings highlight the heterogeneous, region-dependent, and solar cycle-dependent nature of ionospheric variability during intense geomagnetic storms, with important implications for space weather modeling and prediction.
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The investigation on daytime conjugate hemispheric asymmetry along 100°E longitude using observations and model simulations: New insights
(2022-05-15)
Kalita, B. R.
;
Bhuyan, P. K.
;
Nath, S. J.
;
Choudhury, M. C.
;
Chakrabarty, D.
The hemispherical asymmetry of the low latitude region along 100°E ± 5°E is scrutinized for the year 2015 at magnetically conjugate points on seasonal and intra-seasonal time scales. Two conjugate Ionosonde station pairs are selected- one pair in the inner valley (from SEALION) and the other in the outer edges of the EIA region. The anomaly in the stations is estimated using the difference of low latitude NmF2 from the dip equatorial NmF2 in the same meridian. A monthly average scheme is used instead of a seasonal mean, as the month-to-month variations are found to provide intricate details. The anomaly at the conjugate stations is highly asymmetric even during the equinoctial months of March and October, whereas it is nearly symmetric during April. During June/July, the morning time hemispheric asymmetry (larger on the winter side) temporarily reduces in the midday period and then reverses sign (larger in summer) in the afternoon. The NmF2 observations suggest a close relation of hemispheric symmetry to the position of the subsolar point with respect to the dip equator and a shift/expansion of the trough region of the EIA towards the summer hemisphere. The inter-hemispheric comparison of the hmF2 suggests a strong modulating influence of meridional winds at both the inner and outer stations which depend strongly on the relative position of the subsolar point with respect to the field line geometry. Theoretical (SAMI3/SAMI2) and empirical model (IRI) simulations show a meridional movement of the EIA region with the subsolar point. The winter to summer hemisphere movement of the EIA trough and crest region is also reproduced in the GIM-TEC along 100°E for 2015. This shifting or tailoring of the trough and the crest region is attributed primarily to the meridional wind field, which varies with the shifting position of subsolar point relative to the field line geometry. The seasonal and intra-seasonal difference in the NmF2 hemispheric asymmetry is attributed to the misalignment of the two centers of power viz., the thermospheric/neutral processes and the electromagnetic forces, due to the geographic-geomagnetic offset in this longitude.

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