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Explainable machine learning for predicting thermogravimetric analysis of oxidatively torrefied spent coffee grounds combustion
(2025-04-01)
Pambudi, Suluh
;
Jongyingcharoen, Jiraporn Sripinyowanich
;
Saechua, Wanphut
Understanding the combustion behavior of oxidatively torrefied spent coffee grounds (SCG) is crucial for advancing sustainable fuel technologies. This study introduces a novel, explainable machine learning (ML) framework as a cost-effective alternative to traditional thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) that is designed to accelerate the evaluation of oxidatively torrefied SCG combustion properties. Four ML models: artificial neural network (ANN), k-nearest neighbor (k-NN), random forest (RF), and decision tree (DT), were compared to predict TGA data using proximate analysis and combustion temperature (CT). Among the evaluated models, k-NN exhibited the highest performance, achieving near-perfect R2 values that exceeded 0.9904 and RMSE values below 0.9552 on the validation set for both TG (mass loss) and DTG (derivative mass loss). It also accurately predicted key combustion properties, including ignition, peak, and burnout temperature when tested on unknown data. LIME (Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations) analysis revealed that CT was the most influential predictor for TG and DTG, enhancing model interpretability. The results highlight the effectiveness of the k-NN-LIME approach in analyzing the combustion of oxidatively torrefied SCG, offering a robust and explainable model with significant implications for bioenergy research and sustainable fuel development.
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Machine learning based prediction and iso-conversional assessment of oxidatively torrefied spent coffee grounds pyrolysis
(2024-12-01)
Pambudi, Suluh
;
Jongyingcharoen, Jiraporn Sripinyowanich
;
Saechua, Wanphut
This research focused on developing a predictive model for mass loss during the pyrolysis of oxidatively torrefied spent coffee grounds (SCG) using machine learning techniques. Four algorithms were employed: artificial neural networks (ANN), k-nearest neighbors (k-NN), random forest (RF), and decision tree (DT), with the RF model demonstrating superior performance (R2 > 0.9981, RMSE <1.346) for both training and testing sets. The pyrolysis behavior, kinetics, and thermodynamics of SCG were also investigated using thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) under an inert atmosphere at different heating rates. Higher heating rates in TGA cause T<inf>peak</inf> values to shift to higher temperatures with increased DTG<inf>peak</inf> values, while also resulting in lower T<inf>onset</inf> and higher T<inf>offset</inf>. Kinetic analysis, using the Flynn-Wall-Ozawa (FWO) method, was identified as the most suitable approach for determining activation energy (E<inf>a</inf>), with values ranging from 192.66 to 288.13 kJ mol−1, indicating differences in energy requirements for pyrolysis across samples. Thermodynamic analysis further revealed that both raw SCG and oxidatively torrefied SCG pyrolysis were endothermic reactions. These findings contribute valuable insights into the optimization of biomass conversion technologies, highlighting the potential of machine learning in improving predictive accuracy and efficiency in thermal behavior modeling. This research advances sustainable bioenergy production by promoting the use of SCG, an abundant waste material, as a renewable feedstock in pyrolysis-based processes.
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A thermogravimetric assessment of eco-friendly biochar from oxidative torrefaction of spent coffee grounds: Combustion behavior, kinetic parameters, and potential emissions
(2024-02-01)
Pambudi, Suluh
;
Saechua, Wanphut
;
Jongyingcharoen, Jiraporn Sripinyowanich
This study investigated how temperature and residence time variations impact the combustion behavior, kinetic, and potential emissions of biochar produced through oxidative torrefaction of spent coffee grounds (SCG). The study examined the characteristics of combustion and kinetics by conducting thermogravimetry analysis under heating rates of 10 °C·min−1. The Coats-Redfern model was utilized to calculate kinetic parameters. While the emission indices were approximated using the data obtained from elemental analysis. The results indicated that biochar's comprehensive combustion index (C<inf>ci</inf>) from oxidative torrefaction was lower than that of raw SCG, suggesting stable combustion behavior. Moreover, with the escalation of torrefaction intensity, the activation energy (E<inf>a</inf>) values exhibited an upward trend for the char combustion stage, ranging from 22.08 kJ mol−1 to 38.46 kJ mol−1. Concurrently, the E<inf>a</inf> values pertaining to the oxidative pyrolysis stage decreased from 64.26 kJ mol−1 to 52.65 kJ mol−1. Besides, this study emphasized that the ash content of the biochar was lower than that of coal and remained consistent with the ash content of raw SCG (p > 0.05). Moreover, the study revealed that biochar from oxidative torrefaction emitted less CO<inf>2</inf> (67.35 g MJ−1) than lignite coal (76.55 g MJ−1). Additionally, biochar exhibited up to 27 times lower dust emissions than bituminous coal, emphasizing its eco-friendly fuel potential.

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