Analysis of mathematical model for swine flu transmission by age group

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Abstract

Effect of age group in the human population is considered for the transmission of swine flu. Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Quarantined-Recovered (SEIQR) model is used for describing the transmission of this disease. From the swine flu data in Thailand, age of patients is influenced to the transmission of this disease. The human population is separated into three groups such as 1-10 years, 11-20 years, and more than 20 years, respectively. The transmission rates of the disease in all age groups are assumed to be different. Local stability analysis of this model is given. Four equilibrium states are found and the conditions for stability of these four equilibrium states are established. Numerical solutions are shown to confirm the analytical results. The bifurcation diagrams are shown. The basic reproductive number is found and the alternative way to control the disease is discussed. © 2013 Pushpa Publishing House.

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Age structure, Locally asymptotically stable, Routh-hurwitz conditions, SEIQR model, Swine flu

Citation

Far East Journal of Mathematical Sciences, 73(2), 201-229, 2013

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