Novel method for predicting the cracks of oxide scales during high temperature oxidation of metals and alloys by using machine learning

Abstract

Material degradation is one of the main problems in various high-temperature processes, directly resulting in the failure of the material. Crack and protective oxide film spallation caused either by mechanical stress development in the oxidation process or thermal stress due to a mismatch of the thermal expansions of the formed oxide and alloy are common forms of failure in high-temperature processes. Typically, the Pilling-Bedworth ratio (PBR) is employed to predict crack and spallation of the oxide by determining the volume changes of oxide and alloy because of its simplicity. However, this approach provides poor crack and spallation predictions. Hence, machine learning was adopted in the present work to predict oxide formation and spallation in the temperature range of 600-1,200 °C. The inputs for the present developed model were alloy compositions, oxide formed during oxidation, and oxidation conditions and periods. Furthermore, the predicted results of the present developed machine learning model were compared to those obtained by the PBR method. The present results revealed that the accuracy of the oxide spallation prediction of the present model was better than that of the PBR method. The random forest with 15 estimators was the best machine learning model. Finally, it can be concluded that the machine learning model is essential for accurate material failure prediction.