Comparison of power output forecasting on the photovoltaic system using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems and particle swarm optimization-artificial neural network model

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dc.contributor.authorDawan, Promphak
dc.contributor.authorSriprapha, Kobsak
dc.contributor.authorKittisontirak, Songkiate
dc.contributor.authorBoonraksa, Terapong
dc.contributor.authorJunhuathon, Nitikorn
dc.contributor.authorTitiroongruang, Wisut
dc.contributor.authorNiemcharoen, Surasak
dc.date.accessioned2026-08-06T10:27:47Z
dc.date.available2026-08-06T10:27:47Z
dc.date.issued2020-01-01
dc.description.abstractThe power output forecasting of the photovoltaic (PV) system is essential before deciding to install a photovoltaic system in Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand, due to the uneven power production and unstable data. This research simulates the power output forecasting of PV systems by using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS), comparing accuracy with particle swarm optimization combined with artificial neural network methods (PSO-ANN). The simulation results show that the forecasting with the ANFIS method is more accurate than the PSO-ANN method. The performance of the ANFIS and PSO-ANN models were verified with mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAP) and mean absolute percent error (MAPE). The accuracy of the ANFIS model is 99.8532%, and the PSO-ANN method is 98.9157%. The power output forecast results of the model were evaluated and show that the proposed ANFIS forecasting method is more beneficial compared to the existing method for the computation of power output and investment decision making. Therefore, the analysis of the production of power output from PV systems is essential to be used for the most benefit and analysis of the investment cost.
dc.identifier.citationEnergies, 13(2), 2020
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/en13020351
dc.identifier.issn19961073
dc.identifier.other2-s2.0-85077803879
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.kmitl.ac.th/handle/123456789/10735
dc.sourceEnergies
dc.subjectAdaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems
dc.subjectParticle swarm optimization-artificial neural networks
dc.subjectPVs power output forecasting
dc.subjectSolar irradiation
dc.titleComparison of power output forecasting on the photovoltaic system using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems and particle swarm optimization-artificial neural network model
dc.typeArticle

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