Self-attention hierarchical kernel reservoir state network for inland water level prediction

dc.contributor.authorLiu, Zongying
dc.contributor.authorXu, Xiaohan
dc.contributor.authorPasupa, Kitsuchart
dc.contributor.authorLoo, Chu Kiong
dc.contributor.authorWei, Yang
dc.contributor.authorPan, Mingyang
dc.date.accessioned2026-08-06T10:54:28Z
dc.date.available2026-08-06T10:54:28Z
dc.date.issued2026-01-15
dc.description.abstractWaterway transportation sustainably facilitates global trade through eco-efficient cargo movement, where accurate water level forecasting is critical for ensuring navigational safety and operational continuity. To develop a highly accurate prediction model, it is essential to consider the periodic characteristics of water level data, which often emerge in real-world datasets. This study introduces a novel reservoir state structure based on reservoir computing theory, the Self-attention Hierarchical Kernel Reservoir State Network (SHK-RSN). It employs three primary mechanisms. First, a hierarchical feature extraction method groups training data and extracts high-dimensional features from these groups using the kernel trick in a hierarchical manner. Second, a self-attention weight selection approach is introduced to replace the random weights in the Hierarchical Kernel Reservoir State Network (HK-RSN), improving the rationale for hidden neuron connections and enhancing the interpretability of weight selection. Third, a novel reservoir state structure is proposed to capture periodic information and extract temporal features across periods, enabling the model to capture richer temporal information and identify relationships among periods. Experiments are conducted on one artificial and five real-world time series datasets, with forecast performance evaluated over 1–7 steps. Our proposed model, SHK-RSN, is compared with models based on randomization, the kernel trick, and deep learning. The experimental results demonstrate that SHK-RSN exhibits superior forecasting ability relative to the baselines. It achieves the best Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error (SMAPE) across all datasets in the 1–7 period average among baseline methods, demonstrating a relative improvement of 25.7% to 46.9% over the conventional Echo State Network.
dc.identifier.citationEngineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 164, 2026
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.engappai.2025.113273
dc.identifier.issn09521976
dc.identifier.other2-s2.0-105022822476
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.kmitl.ac.th/handle/123456789/17830
dc.sourceEngineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence
dc.subjectFeature extraction
dc.subjectHierarchical kernel trick
dc.subjectReservoir computing
dc.subjectTemporal features
dc.subjectTime series prediction
dc.titleSelf-attention hierarchical kernel reservoir state network for inland water level prediction
dc.typeArticle

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